Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+9.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.08/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.46
-25% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 2.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Crosses 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
11.03.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
14.02.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
29.10.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
27.08.2022 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic edged past Stirling Albion 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stirling Albion led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.20 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stirling Albion?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 38%, draw 24%, Stirling Albion 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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