AFC Totton 3-0 Chertsey Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.03/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.33
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Totton
3-0
AWAY Chertsey Town
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Chertsey Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton swept aside Chertsey Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Totton had 71% of the ball to Chertsey Town's 29%, shots finished 21-1.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Chertsey Town?

AFC Totton 3-0 Chertsey Town in the England - Non League Premier on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Chertsey Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 55%, draw 24%, Chertsey Town 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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