Leicester City 3-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Dec 2024

Leicester City
3-1 HT 1-0
West Ham United
📅03/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Leicester City vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.63
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
13%
6.99
X/2
12%
5.87
X/X
14%
5.3
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.61
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leicester City v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.18/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.41
-20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
18.4 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Leicester City vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY West Ham United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.11 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
465 Passes 354
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.05.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
12.11.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
13.02.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 2-2 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
23.08.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 4-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
11.04.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 3-2 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
04.10.2020 Leicester City Leicester City 0-3 HT 0-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

Leicester City 3-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
3-1
AWAY West Ham United
1.67 xG 3.10
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 31
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
287 Passes 507
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 57
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City got the better of West Ham United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Leicester City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Leicester City had 39% of the ball to West Ham United's 61%, shots finished 8-31, expected goals 1.67 to 3.10 — on chances, West Ham United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leicester City and 2.17 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs West Ham United?

Leicester City 3-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 34%, draw 27%, West Ham United 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (West Ham United) ✗ Under 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
3 Dec 2024
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