Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.82/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.30
+59% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
15.9 Crosses 13.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 1.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
206 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 6
07.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
2.63 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 15
13 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
399 Passes 311
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ ran out comfortable winners over Universitario de Vinto 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gualberto Villarroel SJ as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 55% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 45%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.63 to 1.29.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 53%, draw 25%, Universitario de Vinto 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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