MO Constantine 1-0 Oued Magrane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
59%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.62
Over 2.5
54%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.44
No
50%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
MO Constantine win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
58%
-12.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
42%
+12.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.5pp
50%
BTTS No
63%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MO Constantine EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Magrane EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.74/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.62
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -41%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MO Constantine
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oued Magrane
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
19.04.2024 MO Constantine MO Constantine 2-0 Oued Magrane CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MO Constantine
1-0
AWAY Oued Magrane
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH MO Constantine vs Oued Magrane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MO Constantine nicked a narrow win over Oued Magrane 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MO Constantine as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, MO Constantine had 55% of the ball to Oued Magrane's 45%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of MO Constantine vs Oued Magrane?

MO Constantine 1-0 Oued Magrane in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MO Constantine vs Oued Magrane?

Before kick-off our model rated a MO Constantine win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split MO Constantine 59%, draw 24%, Oued Magrane 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MO Constantine) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MO Constantine) ✗ Over 2.5
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