Mekelakeya 4-3 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.9pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.77/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.69
+70% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
4-3
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya edged past Kedus Giorgis 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Mekelakeya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 56% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

Mekelakeya 4-3 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 38%, draw 33%, Kedus Giorgis 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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