İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-2 Galler (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.13
No
66%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
43%
-8.7pp
66%
BTTS No
57%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Galler (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
357 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Galler (K) Galler (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) KAVŞE
27.02.2024 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Galler (K) Galler (K) HAZ
05.03.2019 Galler (K) Galler (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
1-2
AWAY Galler (K)
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Galler (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler (K) nicked a narrow win over İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Galler (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) had 64% of the ball to Galler (K)'s 36%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) and 1.00 for Galler (K).

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Galler (K)?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-2 Galler (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Galler (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 35%, draw 32%, Galler (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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