CSM Resita 3-1 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania Cup, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSM Resita EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSM Resita
3-1
AWAY Sepsi
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH CSM Resita vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSM Resita saw off Sepsi 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sepsi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CSM Resita had 46% of the ball to Sepsi's 54%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of CSM Resita vs Sepsi?

CSM Resita 3-1 Sepsi in the Romania Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSM Resita vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CSM Resita 33%, draw 21%, Sepsi 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sepsi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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