Arabi 3-1 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.27/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.17
+18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Hazm
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
11.01.2023 Al Hazm Al Hazm 3-0 HT 2-0 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
3-1
AWAY Al Hazm
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi saw off Al Hazm 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Arabi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arabi had 44% of the ball to Al Hazm's 56%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Hazm?

Arabi 3-1 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arabi 36%, draw 28%, Al Hazm 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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