Casertana 1-0 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Dec 2025

Casertana
1-0 HT 1-0
Atalanta II
📅03/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Casertana vs Atalanta II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casertana v Atalanta II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.19/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.21
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Casertana 1-0 Atalanta II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-0
AWAY Atalanta II
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana nicked a narrow win over Atalanta II 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Casertana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Casertana had 41% of the ball to Atalanta II's 59%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Atalanta II?

Casertana 1-0 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Casertana 38%, draw 23%, Atalanta II 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İTC More Italy - Serie C
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