Tampines Rovers 3-2 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCAKŞ, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.79 — our 30% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampines Rovers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampines Rovers
1W-2D-0L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 467
83% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Box Touches 37
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2025 Tampines Rovers Tampines Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United AFCŞL2
27.05.2025 Tampines Rovers Tampines Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United SİNK
16.04.2025 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-1 HT 1-1 Tampines Rovers Tampines Rovers SİNK
POST-MATCH Tampines Rovers vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampines Rovers squeezed past BG Pathum United 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tampines Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tampines Rovers had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tampines Rovers and 1.33 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Tampines Rovers vs BG Pathum United?

Tampines Rovers 3-2 BG Pathum United in the AFCAKŞ on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampines Rovers vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tampines Rovers 37%, draw 25%, BG Pathum United 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BG Pathum United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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