Novi Pazar 4-3 Dubocica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubocica EU Bookmakers 18%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
4-3
AWAY Dubocica
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Dubocica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar squeezed past Dubocica 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 58% of the ball to Dubocica's 42%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Dubocica?

Novi Pazar 4-3 Dubocica in the Serbia - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Dubocica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 55%, draw 22%, Dubocica 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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