Juventus 6-1 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 4 Jan 2024

📅04/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
8.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.4
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
27.5
X/1
15%
3.27
X/2
5%
25.0
X/X
5%
8.08
2/1
14%
25.5
2/2
7%
20.95
2/X
7%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
75%
-9.7pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.0pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.05/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.70
+19% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +42%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
19.4 Crosses 13.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Salernitana
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.00 xG 0.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
536 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 0-3 HT 0-2 Juventus Juventus İTA
11.09.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 0-2 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
20.03.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
30.11.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
6-1
AWAY Salernitana
3.24 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
528 Passes 369
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus cruised past Salernitana 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juventus had 58% of the ball to Salernitana's 42%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 3.24 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Juventus and 0.50 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Salernitana?

Juventus 6-1 Salernitana in the Italy - Cup on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Juventus 65%, draw 19%, Salernitana 16%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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