Stade Tunisien 3-1 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
11%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
15%
+9.2pp
11%
Away Win
5%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -35%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Tunisien
2W-0D-3L
AWAY US Tataouine
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 HT 2-1 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1A
09.05.2021 US Tataouine US Tataouine 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
03.02.2021 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-3 HT 1-2 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1
12.08.2020 US Tataouine US Tataouine 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
27.10.2019 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-0 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien got the better of US Tataouine 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stade Tunisien as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, US Tataouine led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Stade Tunisien and 1.60 for US Tataouine.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs US Tataouine?

Stade Tunisien 3-1 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 64%, draw 25%, US Tataouine 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Tunisien), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN1 More Tunisia - 1st Division
4 Jan 2025
16:00 ES Metlaoui vs Monastir Analysis →
16:00 Zarzis vs AS Slimane Analysis →