PSG 2-1 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 4 Jan 2026

PSG
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Paris FC
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

PSG vs Paris FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
87%
1.15
Draw
8%
7.19
Away
5%
11.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
21%
3.08
Over
79%
1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
9%
8.18
2-3
36%
2.36
4-5
37%
2.35
6+
18%
3.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
64%
1.24
1/2
0%
35.0
1/X
2%
29.0
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
2%
34.5
X/X
4%
13.0
2/1
3%
21.45
2/2
3%
28.5
2/X
2%
35.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

PSG v Paris FC — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSG The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC The Market 8%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.67 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.62 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.89
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Bad
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
490 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
37 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0

PSG 2-1 Paris FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
2 - 1
AWAY Paris FC
1.71 xG 1.01
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
708 Passes 262
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW PSG vs Paris FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Paris FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 87%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (79%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 70% to 30% in PSG's favour, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.71 to 1.01.

PSG vs Paris FC Result & Final Score

PSG 2 - 1 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSG vs Paris FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 87%, with the full match-result split PSG 87%, draw 8%, Paris FC 5%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5
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