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West Ham United (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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2-1
HT 2-0
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West Ham United (K)
İNKPL
2-4
HT 2-2
Arsenal (K)
İNKPL
4-3
HT 2-2
West Ham United (K)
İNKPL
West Ham United (K) 2-1 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United (K) squeezed past Arsenal (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arsenal (K) at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (71%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, West Ham United (K) had 33% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 67%, shots finished 4-23, expected goals 1.14 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Arsenal (K).
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for West Ham United (K) and 3.33 for Arsenal (K).
What was the final score of West Ham United (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
West Ham United (K) 2-1 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split West Ham United (K) 14%, draw 18%, Arsenal (K) 68%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.