Bassano Virtus 1-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.5pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.4pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bassano Virtus The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dolomiti Bellunesi The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bassano Virtus vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bassano Virtus edged past Dolomiti Bellunesi 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Bassano Virtus made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Bassano Virtus vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?

Bassano Virtus 1-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bassano Virtus vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dolomiti Bellunesi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bassano Virtus 32%, draw 33%, Dolomiti Bellunesi 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dolomiti Bellunesi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dolomiti Bellunesi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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