04/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Borgo San Donnino vs Forli Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
Over
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
40%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
52%
28%
Draw
24%
34%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borgo San Donnino v Forli — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Borgo San Donnino
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Forli
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
353 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
347 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Borgo San Donnino vs Forli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Borgo San Donnino and Forli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Borgo San Donnino vs Forli?
Borgo San Donnino 1-1 Forli in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borgo San Donnino vs Forli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borgo San Donnino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Borgo San Donnino 38%, draw 28%, Forli 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Borgo San Donnino), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Borgo San Donnino)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
4 Feb 2024