Brusaporto 1-2 Arconatese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
42%
4-5
17%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusaporto The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Arconatese The Market 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Brusaporto vs Arconatese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arconatese squeezed past Brusaporto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Arconatese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Brusaporto vs Arconatese?

Brusaporto 1-2 Arconatese in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusaporto vs Arconatese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brusaporto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brusaporto 39%, draw 30%, Arconatese 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brusaporto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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