Castrovillari Calcio vs Afragolese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Castrovillari Calcio v Afragolese — Team-Based Signals
Afragolese got the better of Castrovillari Calcio 2-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Afragolese as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Castrovillari Calcio vs Afragolese?
Castrovillari Calcio 0-2 Afragolese in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Castrovillari Calcio vs Afragolese?
Before kick-off our model rated an Afragolese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Castrovillari Calcio 33%, draw 25%, Afragolese 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afragolese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.