04/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Clodiense vs Este Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
76%
28%
Draw
15%
32%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Clodiense v Este — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Clodiense
The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
Este
The Market 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
430 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
250 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Clodiense vs Este
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Clodiense nicked a narrow win over Este 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Clodiense found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Clodiense vs Este?
Clodiense 1-0 Este in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Clodiense vs Este?
Before kick-off our model rated a Clodiense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Clodiense 40%, draw 28%, Este 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Clodiense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Clodiense)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
4 Feb 2024