Licata 2-3 La Fenice Amaranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
36%
4-5
19%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
35%
+9.9pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.7pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Licata The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY La Fenice Amaranto The Market 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.34/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.00
+8% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Licata vs La Fenice Amaranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Fenice Amaranto nicked a narrow win over Licata 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Licata at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Licata vs La Fenice Amaranto?

Licata 2-3 La Fenice Amaranto in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Licata vs La Fenice Amaranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Licata win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Licata 45%, draw 27%, La Fenice Amaranto 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Licata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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