04/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
PDHAE vs Alcione Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
36%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
33%
Home Win
60%
32%
Draw
22%
35%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PDHAE v Alcione — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
PDHAE
The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Alcione
The Market 21%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+11% /
+11%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.98/0.51
+75%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
+129%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
379 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
254 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
PDHAE vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alcione beat PDHAE 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alcione found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of PDHAE vs Alcione?
PDHAE 0-2 Alcione in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PDHAE vs Alcione?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alcione win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split PDHAE 33%, draw 32%, Alcione 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcione), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Alcione)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
4 Feb 2024