04/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Pinerolo vs Bra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
15%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
32%
22%
Draw
23%
30%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pinerolo v Bra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pinerolo
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bra
The Market 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-33% /
-33%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-56%
/
-19%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
355 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
362 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pinerolo vs Bra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pinerolo and Bra shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Pinerolo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Pinerolo vs Bra?
Pinerolo 1-1 Bra in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pinerolo vs Bra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pinerolo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pinerolo 47%, draw 22%, Bra 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pinerolo), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Pinerolo)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
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