04/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Pontisola vs Palazzolo 1913 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
29%
Home Win
24%
32%
Draw
22%
39%
Away Win
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pontisola v Palazzolo 1913 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pontisola
The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Palazzolo 1913
The Market 58%
-44% /
-44%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
+4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
278 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
365 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pontisola vs Palazzolo 1913
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Palazzolo 1913 squeezed past Pontisola 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Palazzolo 1913 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Pontisola vs Palazzolo 1913?
Pontisola 1-2 Palazzolo 1913 in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pontisola vs Palazzolo 1913?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palazzolo 1913 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pontisola 29%, draw 32%, Palazzolo 1913 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palazzolo 1913) — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Palazzolo 1913)
✗ BTTS No
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