Sampdoria (K) 1-0 Pomigliano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pomigliano (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1-0
AWAY Pomigliano (K)
2.08 xG 0.58
58% Ball Possession 42%
27 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
287 Passes 195
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs Pomigliano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria (K) edged past Pomigliano (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sampdoria (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 58% of the ball to Pomigliano (K)'s 42%, shots finished 27-15, expected goals 2.08 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sampdoria (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs Pomigliano (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 1-0 Pomigliano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs Pomigliano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 41%, draw 26%, Pomigliano (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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