Valur 4-0 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 4 Feb 2024

Valur
4-0 HT 1-0
Fylkir
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.94
Over 2.5
57%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.6pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
22%
+21.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
78%
-21.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.4pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.71/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.08
-9% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
458 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fylkir
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.44 xG 2.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
423 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2023 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
03.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-6 HT 0-4 Valur Valur İZL
25.09.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-6 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
27.06.2021 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
23.07.2020 Valur Valur 3-0 HT 2-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
07.08.2019 Valur Valur 1-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
4-0
AWAY Fylkir
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur swept aside Fylkir 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 57% of the ball to Fylkir's 43%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Valur and 0.50 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Valur vs Fylkir?

Valur 4-0 Fylkir in the Iceland - League Cup on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valur 56%, draw 21%, Fylkir 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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