Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 4 Feb 2024

Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Wolfsburg (K)
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.95
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
70%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
50%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+5.3pp
15%
Draw
16%
-0.7pp
70%
Away Win
74%
-4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen (K) v Wolfsburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / -52%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
– Crosses 29.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 Wolfsburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1-1
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
0.47 xG 2.28
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
166 Passes 366
61% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) and Wolfsburg (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Wolfsburg (K) carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 36% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 64%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.47 to 2.28.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 15%, draw 15%, Wolfsburg (K) 70%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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