Atletic Club DEscaldes 5-1 FC Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletic Club DEscaldes EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.42/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.38
+8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletic Club DEscaldes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
02.04.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
19.02.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 0-3 HT 0-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
06.11.2022 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
02.10.2022 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
03.04.2022 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
POST-MATCH Atletic Club DEscaldes vs FC Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic Club DEscaldes swept aside FC Santa Coloma 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Atletic Club DEscaldes found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletic Club DEscaldes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletic Club DEscaldes and 0.50 for FC Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of Atletic Club DEscaldes vs FC Santa Coloma?

Atletic Club DEscaldes 5-1 FC Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletic Club DEscaldes vs FC Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletic Club DEscaldes 36%, draw 25%, FC Santa Coloma 39%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Santa Coloma), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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