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Newcastle Jets (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets (K) 3-2 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets (K) edged past Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Newcastle Jets (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 50% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 50%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.27 to 2.07 — on chances, Wellington Phoenix (K) could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Newcastle Jets (K) 3-2 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 40%, draw 22%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.