Diyarbakırspor 4-1 Bağlar Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
49%
4-5
14%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diyarbakırspor The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bağlar Belediyespor The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Diyarbakırspor vs Bağlar Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diyarbakırspor ran out comfortable winners over Bağlar Belediyespor 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Diyarbakırspor made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Diyarbakırspor vs Bağlar Belediyespor?

Diyarbakırspor 4-1 Bağlar Belediyespor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diyarbakırspor vs Bağlar Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diyarbakırspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Diyarbakırspor 39%, draw 26%, Bağlar Belediyespor 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diyarbakırspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diyarbakırspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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