Manauara 2-1 Operario AM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Amazonense, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manauara The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario AM The Market 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manauara
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Operario AM
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.02.2023 Operario AM Operario AM 1-5 HT 0-5 Manauara BRAMAZ
26.02.2022 Manauara 2-1 HT 0-1 Operario AM Operario AM BRAMAZ
POST-MATCH Manauara vs Operario AM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manauara nicked a narrow win over Operario AM 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Manauara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manauara had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Manauara and 1.00 for Operario AM.

What was the final score of Manauara vs Operario AM?

Manauara 2-1 Operario AM in the Brazil - Amazonense on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manauara vs Operario AM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manauara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Manauara 37%, draw 33%, Operario AM 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manauara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manauara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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