Criciuma 1-0 Nação — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Catarinense 1, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+8.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Nação EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -69% / -69%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -68%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-0
AWAY Nação
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Nação
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma nicked a narrow win over Nação 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nação at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Criciuma had 61% of the ball to Nação's 39%, shots finished 20-6.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Nação?

Criciuma 1-0 Nação in the Brazil - Catarinense 1 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Nação?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nação win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 26%, draw 26%, Nação 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nação) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nação) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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