Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Luiz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novo Hamburgo v Sao Luiz — Team-Based Signals
Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Luiz Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Novo Hamburgo 1-0 Sao Luiz — Actual Match Statistics
Novo Hamburgo edged past Sao Luiz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Novo Hamburgo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Novo Hamburgo had 54% of the ball to Sao Luiz's 46%, shots finished 13-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sao Luiz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Novo Hamburgo and 1.00 for Sao Luiz.
What was the final score of Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Luiz?
Novo Hamburgo 1-0 Sao Luiz in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Luiz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Luiz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Novo Hamburgo 33%, draw 30%, Sao Luiz 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Luiz) went the other way.