Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Super Cup, 4 Feb 2024

Palmeiras
0-0 HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Super Cup – 2024

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.09
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.85
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
17%
4.29
X/2
12%
6.73
X/X
21%
3.58
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
5.86
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
44%
-12.0pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.7pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palmeiras v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
278 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.10.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 5-0 HT 3-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
14.07.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-2 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRK
06.07.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BRK
11.06.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
22.01.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BREPAU
16.10.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1

Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
0-0
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.99 xG 0.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras and Sao Paulo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Palmeiras had 49% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 51%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.99 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 0.50 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Super Cup on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 32%, draw 34%, Sao Paulo 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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