04/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Kayanza United vs LLB Academic Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
22%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kayanza United v LLB Academic — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kayanza United
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
LLB Academic
EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-53% /
-53%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.01/2.01
-3%
/
-14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+128%
/
-32%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
362 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Kayanza United vs LLB Academic Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Kayanza United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
LLB Academic
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
9
Corners
3
The Meetings
04.11.2023
LLB Academic
2-0
Kayanza United
BUR
2-0
Kayanza United
BUR
POST-MATCH
Kayanza United vs LLB Academic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kayanza United got the better of LLB Academic 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kayanza United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Kayanza United vs LLB Academic?
Kayanza United 2-0 LLB Academic in the Burundi - League A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kayanza United vs LLB Academic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kayanza United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kayanza United 42%, draw 22%, LLB Academic 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayanza United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kayanza United)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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BUR
More Burundi - League A
4 Feb 2024