El Bayadh 2-1 Belouizdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.38
Over 2.5
44%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.44
No
48%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
1.95
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
6.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
69%
-13.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
31%
+13.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
37%
+15.1pp
48%
BTTS No
63%
-15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.43/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.88
+49% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Belouizdad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.06.2023 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-3 HT 1-1 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
05.11.2022 Belouizdad Belouizdad 1-0 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Bayadh
2-1
AWAY Belouizdad
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs Belouizdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Bayadh edged past Belouizdad 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; El Bayadh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Bayadh had 36% of the ball to Belouizdad's 64%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Belouizdad led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for El Bayadh and 2.00 for Belouizdad.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs Belouizdad?

El Bayadh 2-1 Belouizdad in the Algeria - 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs Belouizdad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 33%, draw 28%, Belouizdad 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Belouizdad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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