KaPa 1-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.27
2-3 Goals
48%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
8%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.7pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
15.07.2023 KaPa KaPa 4-4 HT 1-3 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
06.05.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 5-3 HT 3-2 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KaPa vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and SJK Akatemia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Akatemia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KaPa had 53% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 47%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for KaPa and 4.50 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of KaPa vs SJK Akatemia?

KaPa 1-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykköscup on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KaPa 35%, draw 19%, SJK Akatemia 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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