Paris FC (K) 3-2 Lille (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
4.58
Over 2.5
64%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
85%
-20.3pp
20%
Draw
9%
+11.1pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
18%
+17.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
82%
-17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -52%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
502 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC (K)
3-2
AWAY Lille (K)
3.49 xG 0.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 3
399 Passes 152
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
38 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paris FC (K) vs Lille (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) edged past Lille (K) 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris FC (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Paris FC (K) had 66% of the ball to Lille (K)'s 34%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 3.49 to 0.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Paris FC (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Paris FC (K) vs Lille (K)?

Paris FC (K) 3-2 Lille (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC (K) vs Lille (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Paris FC (K) 65%, draw 20%, Lille (K) 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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