Thonon Evian (K) 2-1 Montauban (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 2nd Division, 4 Feb 2024

Thonon Evian (K)
2-1 HT 1-0
Montauban (K)
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
France - Women's 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Thonon Evian (K) vs Montauban (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.1pp
54%
Away Win
70%
-15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thonon Evian (K) v Montauban (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thonon Evian (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Montauban (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Thonon Evian (K) 2-1 Montauban (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thonon Evian (K)
2-1
AWAY Montauban (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Thonon Evian (K) vs Montauban (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thonon Evian (K) squeezed past Montauban (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Montauban (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Thonon Evian (K) had 47% of the ball to Montauban (K)'s 53%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Thonon Evian (K) vs Montauban (K)?

Thonon Evian (K) 2-1 Montauban (K) in the France - Women's 2nd Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thonon Evian (K) vs Montauban (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montauban (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Thonon Evian (K) 22%, draw 24%, Montauban (K) 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Montauban (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montauban (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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