Saint-Etienne II vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saint-Etienne II v Espaly-Saint-Marcel — Team-Based Signals
Saint-Etienne II 1-0 Espaly-Saint-Marcel — Actual Match Statistics
Saint-Etienne II nicked a narrow win over Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saint-Etienne II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Saint-Etienne II had 47% of the ball to Espaly-Saint-Marcel's 53%, shots finished 13-14.
What was the final score of Saint-Etienne II vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel?
Saint-Etienne II 1-0 Espaly-Saint-Marcel in the France - National League 3 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne II vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne II 42%, draw 24%, Espaly-Saint-Marcel 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.