Vitry 1-3 St. Maur Lusi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.4pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitry The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Maur Lusi The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitry
1-3
AWAY St. Maur Lusi
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Vitry vs St. Maur Lusi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Maur Lusi saw off Vitry 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Maur Lusi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitry had 41% of the ball to St. Maur Lusi's 59%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Vitry vs St. Maur Lusi?

Vitry 1-3 St. Maur Lusi in the France - National League 3 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitry vs St. Maur Lusi?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Maur Lusi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vitry 21%, draw 32%, St. Maur Lusi 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Maur Lusi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Maur Lusi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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