04/02/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Fraijanes vs Mictlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
22%
Home Win
17%
30%
Draw
23%
48%
Away Win
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fraijanes v Mictlan — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fraijanes
The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mictlan
The Market 64%
-36% /
-36%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-100%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
4
276 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
359 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Fraijanes vs Mictlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mictlan cruised past Fraijanes 4-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mictlan as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Fraijanes vs Mictlan?
Fraijanes 0-4 Mictlan in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fraijanes vs Mictlan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mictlan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fraijanes 22%, draw 30%, Mictlan 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mictlan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mictlan)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GUAP
More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
4 Feb 2024