Nueva Concepcion 2-1 Juventud Copalera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.2pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Concepcion The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud Copalera The Market 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Nueva Concepcion vs Juventud Copalera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Concepcion nicked a narrow win over Juventud Copalera 2-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Nueva Concepcion found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nueva Concepcion vs Juventud Copalera?

Nueva Concepcion 2-1 Juventud Copalera in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Concepcion vs Juventud Copalera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventud Copalera win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Nueva Concepcion 33%, draw 33%, Juventud Copalera 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventud Copalera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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