Mumbai City 2-3 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

Mumbai City
2-3 HT 2-0
Jamshedpur
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.12
6+ Goals
7%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 32% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mumbai City v Jamshedpur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.49/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.34
+8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.3 Crosses 18.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jamshedpur
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 1.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
396 Passes 168
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.08.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 5-0 HT 3-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINDK
27.01.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-2 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
22.10.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 1-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
17.02.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-2 HT 2-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
09.12.2021 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-2 HT 3-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
20.02.2021 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL

Mumbai City 2-3 Jamshedpur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
2-3
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.88 xG 2.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
338 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 28
30 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur edged past Mumbai City 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mumbai City at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mumbai City had 57% of the ball to Jamshedpur's 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.88 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Mumbai City and 1.50 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur?

Mumbai City 2-3 Jamshedpur in the India - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 49%, draw 27%, Jamshedpur 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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