04/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Dinamo Moscow vs Gangwon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
78%
21%
Draw
16%
21%
Away Win
7%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dinamo Moscow v Gangwon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dinamo Moscow
EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gangwon
EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-22% /
-22%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+128%
/
-21%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
428 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
288 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dinamo Moscow vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dinamo Moscow and Gangwon shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Moscow carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Gangwon?
Dinamo Moscow 2-2 Gangwon in the Friendlies on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Gangwon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 58%, draw 21%, Gangwon 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
4 Feb 2024