Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 31% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-16.9pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.2pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.77/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.71
+11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
22.6 Crosses 13.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2W-3D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 0.53
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
582 Passes 252
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
05.08.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
28.05.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
01.04.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
21.01.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
10.09.2022 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.88 xG 0.37
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 5
16 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 2
522 Passes 188
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb beat HNK Gorica 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 69% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 31%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 1.88 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.67 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 59%, draw 25%, HNK Gorica 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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