UNAN Managua 3-2 Orgánica Masachapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.60/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 4-1 HT 2-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
13.08.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 1-4 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
3-2
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Orgánica Masachapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua edged past Orgánica Masachapa 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UNAN Managua as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 50% of the ball to Orgánica Masachapa's 50%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UNAN Managua had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for UNAN Managua and 1.00 for Orgánica Masachapa.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Orgánica Masachapa?

UNAN Managua 3-2 Orgánica Masachapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 48%, draw 24%, Orgánica Masachapa 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNAN Managua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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