Alsterbrüder 2-5 Niendorfer TSV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alsterbrüder EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Niendorfer TSV EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alsterbrüder vs Niendorfer TSV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niendorfer TSV swept aside Alsterbrüder 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 20% / 39%) promised a tight game; Niendorfer TSV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Alsterbrüder vs Niendorfer TSV?

Alsterbrüder 2-5 Niendorfer TSV in the Germany - Oberliga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alsterbrüder vs Niendorfer TSV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alsterbrüder win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alsterbrüder 41%, draw 20%, Niendorfer TSV 39%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alsterbrüder) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alsterbrüder) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
OBER More Germany - Oberliga
4 Feb 2024
15:00 Makkabi vs Anker Wismar Analysis →
15:00 CFC Hertha vs Sparta Lichtenberg Analysis →
15:30 Neustrelitz vs Lichtenberg Analysis →
16:00 Bersenbrück vs Rotenburger SV Analysis →
16:30 FC Eintracht Rheine vs Sprockhövel Analysis →
17:00 Vreden vs Brünninghausen Analysis →