04/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Bersenbrück vs Rotenburger SV Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
36%
Draw
30%
40%
Away Win
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bersenbrück v Rotenburger SV — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bersenbrück
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rotenburger SV
EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-25%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
267 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
412 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bersenbrück vs Rotenburger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bersenbrück cruised past Rotenburger SV 3-0.
Our pre-match split (24% / 36% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bersenbrück found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bersenbrück vs Rotenburger SV?
Bersenbrück 3-0 Rotenburger SV in the Germany - Oberliga on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bersenbrück vs Rotenburger SV?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rotenburger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bersenbrück 24%, draw 36%, Rotenburger SV 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Rotenburger SV)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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OBER
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4 Feb 2024